The essentials The government is maintaining the course for a gradual deconfinance from May 3rd. Too early or good timing? French epidemiologists do not all agree on the implementation of this emergency exit plan.
Is It Too Early To DeconFine? Emmanuel Macron made the headlines for the regional press on Friday April 30th, unveiling the timetable for the upcoming deconfinance. From May 3, the French will be able to move freely, and from May 19, the terraces and shops will be able to reopen. With the French looking forward to a possible return to a more “normal” life, some epidemiologists believe it is too early to deconfine.
Also read: Interview with Emmanuel Macron: The six most important points to remember
“You believe in Santa Claus, he will rise again!”
Some voices, such as epidemiologist Catherine Hill, are particularly alarmed at the consequences of deconfining too quickly.
For them, deconfining “makes absolutely no sense”, the spread of the virus remains important. “Today there are even more people in the intensive care unit than at the height of November, so the situation is really very bad. And this is the moment when we talk about foot relief,” she complained on BFM television.
What would be the consequences of deconfining too quickly? “What will happen? We will let up, but it won’t sink any further or you will believe in Santa Claus. It will come up again! (…) How do you expect the hospital to come down?” “Do something other than Covid,” she is alarmed. We will have a curfew a little later, people will be less careful (…) Everything that spreads the virus, “regrets the specialist.
Also read: Covid-19. Catherine Hill, epidemiologist: “We underestimate the number of positive people”
“Releasing the brakes too early could restart the epidemic.”
Antoine Flahault, director of the Institute for Global Health at the University of Geneva, wrote on BFMTV that “May 19th is too early for certain things”. He adds in L’Humanite that “letting go of the brakes too early could restart the epidemic”. Then he mocked his remarks: “There are positive points. Re-opening the terraces with tables for six people can be a good idea as the outdoor activities are generally low-risk. I also think that a possible re-opening of cultural sites is also starting May 19 can be a good move. “
“We can celebrate this summer, but …”
Martin Blachier, an epidemiologist whose positions often coincide with those of the Elysee Palace, stated on Cnews that the quality of the deconfination must go hand in hand with a vaccination effort at all costs: “We will be able to do this this summer. ” Party, we’ll be able to let go, but we need to be vaccinated. “The scientist believes there is a risk for the months to come:” Once we have resumed normal life, vaccinating the population will be a real challenge, and if not vaccinated, there is a risk of falling. We must not “give up, we are going to have a summer break and we have to use this clamp to vaccinate”.
What percentage of the population needs to be vaccinated to avoid a fourth wave? “At the moment we can’t say anything. It depends on our ability to vaccinate 80% to 90% of the population. It’s in our hands,” he concluded with France Bleu Paris.
Also read: Will the closed places be reopened soon? “Everything is in our hands,” says epidemiologist Martin Blachier
“Fatigue has settled in the population”
Could the French hold out for a few more weeks in prison? The epidemiologist Pascal Crépey insisted on Franceinfo about the fatigue of the population. “After more than a year of crisis, the population began to feel tired (…). The population needs spaces for freedom and breathing. If these spaces are not open in a regulated and protected manner, they will open out of control.” For him, the deconfining calendar can work precisely if the French conscientiously use barrier gestures.